Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.040420 0.044085 0.047799 0.051838 0.056100 0.060456 0.065239
2025-07-27 0.034794 0.040169 0.045815 0.052162 0.059073 0.066345 0.074551
2025-08-03 0.030955 0.037597 0.044797 0.053124 0.062428 0.072450 0.084003
2025-08-10 0.026060 0.033334 0.041473 0.051148 0.062228 0.074424 0.088760
2025-08-17 0.022879 0.030687 0.039675 0.050620 0.063424 0.077772 0.094913
2025-08-24 0.020214 0.028383 0.038047 0.050081 0.064431 0.080774 0.100575
2025-08-31 0.018959 0.027661 0.038186 0.051532 0.067690 0.086326 0.109150
2025-09-07 0.017670 0.026770 0.038017 0.052526 0.070344 0.091135 0.116853
2025-09-14 0.016375 0.025755 0.037601 0.053138 0.072478 0.095294 0.123779
2025-09-21 0.015039 0.024579 0.036889 0.053302 0.074006 0.098690 0.129779
2025-09-28 0.014367 0.024243 0.037213 0.054741 0.077085 0.103948 0.138017
2025-10-05 0.012960 0.022781 0.035973 0.054098 0.077505 0.105935 0.142291
2025-10-12 0.011893 0.021755 0.035291 0.054182 0.078875 0.109148 0.148157
2025-10-19 0.011186 0.021203 0.035217 0.055044 0.081229 0.113586 0.155550
2025-10-26 0.010667 0.020895 0.035455 0.056305 0.084097 0.118680 0.163783
2025-11-02 0.009206 0.019024 0.033395 0.054378 0.082749 0.118435 0.165378
2025-11-09 0.008305 0.017961 0.032430 0.053891 0.083246 0.120489 0.169814
2025-11-16 0.007474 0.016942 0.031469 0.053359 0.083643 0.122389 0.174041
2025-11-23 0.007243 0.016913 0.031974 0.054888 0.086810 0.127859 0.182798
2025-11-30 0.006908 0.016678 0.032146 0.055933 0.089320 0.132490 0.190514
2025-12-07 0.006501 0.016282 0.032050 0.056574 0.091275 0.136404 0.197332
2025-12-14 0.006018 0.015710 0.031647 0.056748 0.092574 0.139456 0.203056
2025-12-21 0.005855 0.015717 0.032151 0.058249 0.095711 0.144934 0.211915